2025
- Bohn, F.J., A. Bastos, R. Martin, A. Rammig, N. Sian Koh, G.B. Sioen, B. Buscher, L. Carver, F. DeClerck, M. Drupp, R. Fletcher, M. Forrest, A. Gasparatos, A. Godoy-Faúndez, G. Hagedorn, M.C. Hänsel, J. Hetzer, T. Hickler, C.B. Krug, S. Koot, X. Li, A. Luers, S. Matevich, H. Damon Matthews, I.C. Meier, M. Migliavacca, A. Mohamed, S. O, D. Obura, B. Orlove, R. Orth, L. Pereira, M. Reichstein, L. Thakholi, P. Verburg, and Y. Yoshida, Reviews and syntheses: Current perspectives on biosphere research 2024-2025: 8 findings from ecology, sociology and economics, Biogeosciences, accepted (2025).
- Migliavacca, M., G. Grassi, A. Bastos, G. Ceccherini, P. Ciais, G. Janssens-Maenhout, E. Lugato, M.D. Mahecha, K.A. Novick, J. Peñuelas, R. Pilli, M. Reichstein, V. Avitabile, P.S.A. Beck, J.I. Barredo, G. Forzieri, M. Herold, A. Korosuo, N. Mansuy, S. Mubareka, R. Orth, P. Rougieux, A. Cescatti, Securing the forest carbon sink for the European Union’s climate ambition, Nature, accepted (2025).
- Uckan, Y., M. Ruiz-Vásquez, K. De Polt, and R. Orth, Global relevance of atmospheric and land surface drivers for hot temperature extremes, Earth Syst. Dyn., accepted (2025).
2024
- Denissen, J.M.C., A.J. Teuling, S. Koirala, M. Reichstein, G. Balsamo, M.M. Vogel, X. Yu, and R. Orth, Intensified future heat extremes linked with increasing ecosystem water limitation, Earth System Dynamics, accepted (2024).
- Li, W., G. Duveiller, S. Wieneke, M. Forkel, P. Gentine, M. Reichstein, S. Niu, M. Migliavacca, and R. Orth, Regulation of the global carbon and water cycles through vegetation structural and physiological dynamics, Env. Res. Lett., accepted (2024).
- Li, W., M. Migliavacca, D.G. Miralles, M. Reichstein, W.R.L. Anderegg, H. Yang, and R Orth, Disentangling effects of vegetation structure and physiology on land–atmosphere coupling, Glob. Change Biol., 31(1), e70035, doi: 10.1111/gcb.70035 (2024).
- Oswald, S.E., L. Angermann, H. Bogena, M. Förster, A. Garcia-Garcia, G. Lischeid, E.N. Paton, D. Altdorff, S. Attinger, A. Güntner, A. Hartmann, H.-J. Hendricks Franssen, A. Hildebrandt, B. Kleinschmit, R. Orth, J. Peng, M. Ryo, M. Schrön, W. Wagner, T. Wagener, Hydrology on Solid Grounds? Integration Is Key to Closing Knowledge Gaps Concerning Landscape Subsurface Water Storage Dynamics, Hydrol. Proc., 38(11), e15320, doi: 10.1002/hyp.15320 (2024).
- Paulus, S.J., R. Orth, S.-C. Lee, A. Hildebrandt, M. Jung, J.A. Nelson, T.S. El-Madany, A. Carrara, G. Moreno, M. Mauder, J. Groh, A. Graf, M. Reichstein, and M. Migliavacca, Interpretability of negative latent heat fluxes from Eddy Covariance measurements during dry conditions, Biogeosciences, 21(8), 2051–2085, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2051-2024 (2024).
- Khanal, P., A.J. Hoek Van Dijke, T. Schaffhauser, W. Li, S.J. Paulus, C. Zhan, and R. Orth,
Relevance of near-surface soil moisture vs. terrestrial water storage for global vegetation functioning, Biogeosciences, 21(6), 1533-1547, doi: 10.5194/bg-21-1533-2024 (2024). - Zhan, C., R. Orth, H. Yang, M. Reichstein, S. Zaehle, M.G. De Kauwe, A. Rammig, and A.J. Winkler, Estimating the CO2 fertilization effect on extratropical forest productivity from Flux-tower observations, J. Geophys. Res. – Biogeosci., accepted (2024).
2023
- Bogdanovich, E., A. Brenning, M. Reichstein, K. De Polt, L. Guenther, D. Frank, and R. Orth,
Official heat warnings miss situations with a detectable societal heat response in European countries, IDJRR, 100, 1042056, doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104206 (2023). - Bogdanovich, E., L. Guenther, M. Reichstein, D. Frank, G. Ruhrmann, A. Brenning, J.M.C. Denissen, and R. Orth, Societal attention to heat waves can indicate public health impacts, WCAS, 15(3), 557-569, doi: 10.1175/WCAS-D-22-0147.1 (2023).
- De Polt, K., P.J. Ward, M. de Ruiter, E. Bogdanovich, M. Reichstein, D. Frank, and R. Orth, Quantifying impact-relevant heatwave durations, Env. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/acf05e (2023).
- Hoek van Dijke, A.J., R. Orth, A.J. Teuling, M. Herold, M. Schlerf, M. Migliavacca, M. Machwitz, T.C. van Hateren, X. Yu, K. Mallick, Comparing forest and grassland drought responses inferred from eddy covariance and Earth observation, Agr. For. Met., 341, 109635, doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109635 (2023).
- Li, W., M. Reichstein, S. O, C. May, G. Destouni, M. Migliavacca, B. Kraft, U. Weber, and R. Orth,
Contrasting drought propagation into the terrestrial water cycle between dry and wet regions, Earth’s Future, 11, e2022EF003441, doi: 10.1029/2022EF003441 (2023). - Li, W., J. Pacheco-Labrador, M. Migliavacca, D. Miralles, A.J. Hoek van Dijke, M. Reichstein, M. Forkel, W. Zhang, C. Frankenberg, A. Panwar, Q. Zhang, U. Weber, P. Gentine, and R. Orth, Widespread and complex drought effects on vegetation physiology inferred from space, Nature Communications, 14, 4640, doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-40226-9 (2023).
- Ruiz-Vásquez, M., S. O, G. Arduini, S. Boussetta, A. Brenning, A. Bastos, S. Koirala, G. Balsamo, M. Reichstein, and R. Orth, Impact of updating vegetation information on land surface model performance, JGR-Atmospheres, 128(21), e2023JD039076, doi: 10.1029/2023JD039076 (2023).
2022
- Orth, R., S. O, J. Zscheischler, M.D. Mahecha, and M. Reichstein, Contrasting biophysical and social impacts of hydro-meteorological extremes, Env. Res. Lett., 17, 014044, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac4139 (2022).
- Denissen, J.M.C., A.J. Teuling, A.J. Pitman, S. Koirala, M. Migliavacca, W. Li, M. Reichstein, A.J. Winkler, C. Zhan, and R. Orth, Widespread shift from ecosystem energy to water limitation with climate change, Nature Climate Change, 12, 677–684, doi: 10.1038/s41558-022-01403-8 (2022).
- Kroll, J.*, J.M.C. Denissen*, M. Migliavacca, W. Li, A. Hildebrandt, and R. Orth, Spatially varying relevance of hydrometeorological hazards for vegetation productivity extremes, Biogeosciences, 19, 477-489, doi: 10.5194/bg-2021-206 (2022). [*equal contributions]
- Li, W., M. Migliavacca, M. Forkel, J.M.C. Denissen, M. Reichstein, H. Yang, G. Duveiller, U. Weber, and R. Orth, Widespread increasing vegetation sensitivity to soil moisture, Nature Communications, 3959, doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-31667-9 (2022).
- O, S., R. Orth, U. Weber, S.K. Park, High-resolution European daily soil moisture derived with machine learning (2003-2020), Sci. Data, 9, 701, doi: 10.1038/s41597-022-01785-6 (2022).
- O, S., A. Bastos, M. Reichstein, W. Li, J.M.C. Denissen, H. Graefen, and R. Orth, The role of climate and vegetation in regulating drought-heat extremes, J. Climate, 35(17), 5677–5685, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0675.1 (2022).
- Paulus, S.J., T.S. El-Madany, R. Orth, A. Hildebrandt, T. Wutzler, A. Carrara, G. Moreno, O. Perez-Priego, O. Kolle, M. Reichstein, and M. Migliavacca, Lysimeter based evaporation and condensation dynamics in a Mediterranean ecosystem, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 26, 6263-6287, doi: 10.5194/hess-26-6263-2022 (2022).
- Ruiz-Vásquez, M., S. O, A. Brenning, R.D. Koster, G. Balsamo, U. Weber, G. Arduini, A. Bastos, M. Reichstein, and R. Orth, Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables, Earth Syst. Dynam. 13, 1451-1471, doi: 10.5194/esd-13-1451-2022 (2022).
- Ward, P.J., J. Daniell, M. Duncan, A. Dunne, C. Hananel, S. Hochrainer-Stigler, A. Tijssen, S. Torresan, R. Ciurean, J. Gill, J. Sillmann, A. Couasnon, E. Koks, N. Padrón-Fumero, S. Tatman, M. Tronstad Lund, A. Adesiyun, J. Aerts, A. Alabaster, B. Butler, C. Campillo Torres, A. Critto, R. Hernández Martin, M. Machado, J. Mysiak, R. Orth, I. Palomino, E.-C. Petrescu, M. Reichstein, T. Tiggeloven, A. van Loon, H. Vuong Pham, and M. de Ruiter, Invited perspectives: A research agenda towards Disaster Risk Management pathways in multi-risk assessment, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1487–1497, doi: 10.5194/nhess-22-1487-2022 (2022).
- Yu, X., R. Orth, M. Reichstein, M. Bahn, A. Klosterhalfen, A. Knohl, F. Koebsch, M. Migliavacca, M. Mund, J.A. Nelson, B.D. Stocker, S. Walther, and A. Bastos, Contrasting drought legacy effects on gross primary productivity in a mixed versus pure beech forest, Biogeosciences, 19, 4315–4329, doi: 10.5194/bg-19-4315-2022 (2022).
- Zhan, C., R. Orth, M. Migliavacca, S. Zaehle, M. Reichstein, J. Engel, A. Rammig, and A.J. Winkler, Emergence of the physiological effects of elevated CO2 on land-atmosphere exchange of carbon and water, Global Change Biology, doi: 10.1111/gcb.16397 (2022).
2021
- Orth, R., When the Land Surface Shifts Gears, AGU Advances, 2(2), e2021AV000414, doi: 10.1029/2020AV000283 (2021).
- Bastos, A., R. Orth, M. Reichstein, P. Ciais, N. Viovy, S. Zaehle, P. Anthoni, A. Arneth, P. Gentine,
E. Joetzjer, S. Lienert, T. Loughran, P.C. McGuire, S. O, J. Pongratz, and S. Sitch,
Vulnerability of European ecosystems to two compound dry and hot summers in 2018 and 2019
Earth Syst. Dynam., 12, 1015-1035, doi: 10.5194/esd-12-1015-2021 (2021). - Denissen, J.M.C., R. Orth, H. Wouters, D.G. Miralles, C.C. van Heerwaarden, J.-V.-G. de Arellano, and A.J. Teuling, Soil moisture signature in global weather balloon soundings, npj Clim. Atmos. Sci. 4, 13, doi: 10.1038/s41612-021-00167-w (2021).
- Li, W., M. Migliavacca, M. Forkel, S. Walther, M. Reichstein, and R. Orth, Revisiting global vegetation controls using multi-layer soil moisture, Geophys. Res. Lett. 48(11), e2021GL092856, doi: 10.1029/2021GL092856 (2021).
- O, S. and R. Orth, Global soil moisture data derived through machine learning trained with in-situ measurements, Sci. Data 8, 170, doi: 10.1038/s41597-021-00964-1 (2021).
2020
- Orth, R., G. Destouni, M. Jung, and M. Reichstein, Large-scale biospheric drought response intensifies linearly with drought duration, Biogeosciences 17, 2647–2656, doi: 10.5194/bg-2019-442 (2020).
- Denissen, J.M.C., A.J. Teuling, M. Reichstein, and R. Orth, Critical soil moisture derived from satellite observations over Europe, J. Geophys. Res. – Atmospheres 125(6), e2019JD031672, doi: 10.1029/2019JD031672 (2020).
- Fallah, A., O, S., and R. Orth, Climate-dependent propagation of precipitation uncertainty into the water cycle, Hydr. Earth Syst. Sci. 24(7), 3725-3735, doi:10.5194/hess-24-3725-2020 (2020).
- Fallah, A., G.R. Rakhshandehroo, P. Berg, S. O, and R. Orth, Evaluation of precipitation datasets against local observations in southwestern Iran, Int. J. Climatol. 40(9), 4102-4116, doi:10.1002/joc.6445 (2020).
- Ghajarnia, N., Z. Kalantari, R. Orth, and G. Destouni, Close co-variation between soil moisture and runoff emerging from multi-catchment data across Europe, Sci. Rep. 10(1), 4817, doi:10.1038/s41598-020-61621-y (2020).
- O, S., E. Dutra, and R. Orth, Robustness of process-based versus data-driven modelling in changing climatic conditions, J. Hydrometeorol. 21 (9), 1929–1944, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0072.1 (2020).
- O, S., X. Hou, and R. Orth, Observational evidence of wild fire‐promoting soil moisture anomalies
Sci. Rep. 10, 11008, doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-67530-4 (2020). - Stevens, D., P.M.A. Miranda, R. Orth, S. Boussetta, G. Balsamo, E. Dutra, Sensitivity of surface fluxes in the ECMWF land surface model to the remotely sensed leaf area index and root distribution: Evaluation with tower flux data, Atmosphere, 11(12), 1362, doi: 10.3390/atmos11121362 (2020).
2019
- Schewe, J., S.N. Gosling, C. Reyer, F. Zhao, P. Ciais, J. Elliott, L. Francois, V. Huber, H.K. Lotze, S.I. Seneviratne, M.T. H. van Vliet, R. Vautard, Y. Wada, L. Breuer, M. Büchner, D.A. Carozza, J. Chang, M. Coll, D. Deryng, A. de Wit, T.D. Eddy, C. Folberth, K. Frieler, A.D. Friend, D. Gerten, L. Gudmundsson, N. Hanasaki, A. Ito, N. Khabarov, H. Kim, P. Lawrence, C. Morfopoulos, C. Müller, H. Müller Schmied, R. Orth, S. Ostberg, Y. Pokhrel, T.A.M. Pugh, G. Sakurai, Y. Satoh, E. Schmid, T. Stacke, J. Steenbeek, J. Steinkamp, Q. Tang, H. Tian, D.P. Tittensor, J. Volkholz, X. Wang, and L. Warszawski, State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes, Nature Commun. 10, 1005, doi:10.1038/s41467-019-08745-6 (2019).
2018
- Orth, R. and G. Destouni, Drought reduces blue-water fluxes more strongly than green-water fluxes in Europe, Nature Commun. 9, 3602, doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-06013-7 (2018).
- Balsamo, G., Agustì-Parareda, A., Albergel, C., Arduini, G., Beljaars, A., Bidlot, J., Bousserez, N., Boussetta, S., Brown, A., Buizza, R., Buontempo, C., Chevallier, F., Choulga, M., Cloke, H., Cronin, M.F., Dahoui, M., Rosnay, P.D., Dirmeyer, P. A., Drusch, M., Dutra, E., Ek, M. B., Gentine, P., Hewitt, H., Keeley, S.P.E., Kerr, Y., Kumar, S., Lupu, C., Mahfouf, J.-F., McNorton, J., Mecklenburg, S., Mogensen, K., Muñoz-Sabater, J., Orth, R., Rabier, F., Reichle, R., Ruston, B., Pappenberger, F., Sandu, I., Seneviratne, S.I., Tietsche, S., Trigo, I.F., Uijlenhoet, R., Wedi, N., Woolway, R.I., and X. Zeng, Satellite and in situ observations for advancing global earth surface modelling: a review, Remote Sensing 10(12), 2038, doi:10.3390/rs10122038 (2018).
- Christiansen, B., C. Alvarez-Castro, N. Christidis, A. Ciavarella, I. Colfescu, T. Cowan, J. Eden, M. Hauser, N. Hempelmann, K. Klehmet, F. Lott, C. Nangini, G.-J. Van Oldenborgh, R. Orth, P. Stott, S. Tett, R. Vautard, L. Wilcox, and P. Yiou, Was the Cold European Winter of 2009/10 Modified by Anthropogenic Climate Change? An Attribution Study, J. Climate 31, 3387-3410, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0589.1 (2018).
- Vautard, R., N. Christidis, A. Ciavarella, C. Alvarez-Castro, O. Bellprat, B. Christiansen, I. Colfescu, T. Cowan, F. Doblas-Reyes, J. Eden, M. Hauser, G. Hegerl, N. Hempelmann, K. Klehmet, F. Lott, C. Nangini, R. Orth, S. Radanovics, S.I. Seneviratne, G.J. van Oldenborgh, P. Stott, S. Tett, L. Wilcox, and P. Yiou,
Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe, Clim. Dyn. 52, 1178-1210, doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4183-6 (2018). - Wartenburger, R., Seneviratne, S. I., Hirschi, M., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Deryng, D., Elliott, J., Folberth, C., Gosling, S. N., Gudmundsson, L., Henrot, A.-J., Hickler, T., Ito, A., Khabarov, N., Kim, H., Leng, G., Liu, J., Liu, X., Masaki, Y., Morfopoulos, C., Müller, C., Müller Schmied, H., Nishina, K., Orth, R., Pokhrel, Y., Pugh, T. A. M., Satoh, Y., Schaphoff, S., Schmid, E., Sheffield, J., Stacke, T., Steinkamp, J., Tang, Q., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Wang, X., Weedon, G. P., Yang, H., and T. Zhou, Evapotranspiration simulations in ISIMIP2a – Evaluation of spatio-temporal characteristics with a comprehensive ensemble of independent datasets, Environ. Res. Lett. 13(7), 075001. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aac4bb (2018).